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Viewing 30 posts - 1 through 30 (of 1,246 total)
  • Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2306487

    the next couple games don’t mean all that much playoff-wise, but it’s time to get the machine well-oiled and ready to go.

    i usually dislike the night games because of my early wake-up for work, but when it’s the night before a holiday and some snow is falling?
    bring on MNF at Lambeau Field!!!

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2305693

    Sign us up. Although we plan on winning out and getting the #1 seed.

    1 seed, 2 seed, tomato, tabasco.
    i’d be fine with GB beating MIN in the Divisional round.

    but the sweetness of the NFC Championship to go to the Super Bowl can only happen in the NFC Championship if MIN is the 2 b/c GB will be the 6.

    waytogo

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2305635

    dear Santa,
    all i want for Christmas is the perfect storm of results.
    signed, every Packers fan

    Regular Season: Vikings beat Lions, win the NFC North and 2-seed.
    Wildcard Round: Lions beat Rams, Packers beat Buccaneers.
    Divisonal Round: Vikings beat Lions, Packers beat Eagles.
    NFC Championship: Packers vs Vikings at US Bank stadium.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2302999

    8-9 with an uncoachable QB playing the full season is better than expected.

    FIFY.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2301747

    It is a lot different $7M guaranteed vs $25M. The fact they moved around his cap hit doesn’t change that.

    absolutely it’s a different amount of money. it’s just that for the teams what matters is the cap hit because coming up with the actual cash isn’t the limiting factor – how big of an impact it has on the team’s ability to sign other players that matters. that’s why Tom Brady would famously re-work his pay, he was still getting the same amount of cash, just adjusting how it impacted the team.

    Jones represents a very good deal for the Vikings in both aspects, but Jacobs is also a good deal for the Packers – at least for now – we’ll have to wait and see how he holds up over the next 3.5 years as it could get overpriced if his play declines.

    If the Vikings can get Jones back on another contract next year, that’s where I think he will really shine. Second year in the system with KOC, and taking handoffs from a famaliar person back there in Aaron Rodgers.

    and another year older. the dreaded 30-year-old decline for running backs is a real thing.

    I’m not too worried about Love. The INT’s and overall accuracy have been an ongoing issue but he’s also throwing a lot of TDs and making big plays in crucial moments.

    beating the 49ers by throwing 163yds and 2TDs is one thing. beating the Lions in the NFC Championship is something else entirely. he will need to play better for playoff success; to this point i’ve been willing to see it as rust related to injury time off, but he’s got to start making quicker decisions and getting the ball out on time like he did in the second half of last year.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2301477

    Jacobs is a LOT more expensive.

    the difference only seems like a lot. with a salary cap of $255M this year Jones counts as 1.37% for the Vikes and Jacobs counts as 2.08%. he’ll be counting as 5.31% of against the cap in the final year. the Vikes have flexibility since they’re not tied into a multi-year contract with an aging player, but they’ve got a window with a good team right now so what’s next year going to look like? my guess is they try to find someone like Jacobs who’s younger and cheaper than Jones.

    of course, we could also be getting Saquon Barkely at those prices. over the next 3 years he is $3M, $5M, $9M compared to Jacobs at $5M, $11M, $14M.
    doah

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2301343

    Jacobs has ran for 944 yards and 7TDs. He’s on-pace for 1450 yards and 11TDs. The move looks pretty good for the Packers so far. He’s been a constant pro bowl level performer despite some of the team’s other ups and downs.

    i think it’s a wash between Jones and Jacobs in 2024. they’re both performing very well on winning teams. Jacobs is slightly more expensive, but he’s also in year 1 of a 4 year deal and he’s 3.5 years younger where the Vikings will need to make a big decision at RB for next year with Jones a free agent and turning 30 years old.

    on Thanksgiving night it’s going to be cold. not bitter, but cold. i hope the boys in Green and Gold are more prepared than the Fins.
    there’s a good chance we’ll be missing Doubs for this game depending on his recovery from the concussion; that could be a big factor as Love’s passing game has been pretty inconsistent this year coming off his own injuries early in the season. Tua should take note: that same Lambeau turf was the scene of a really bad concussion for him just two seasons ago. scary stuff.

    Headed to Green Bay tomorrow, first game we’ll attend this season. Gotta love Lambeau.

    i hope you had as good of a time as we did!

    Attachments:
    1. gopackgo.jpg

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2300604

    seems pretty unlikely for a crippled deer living on public land.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2298433

    Opener was great conditions but a quiet morning in the woods north of Park Rapids. Cameras have been busy but only at night so that followed.

    For the afternoon my son chose to stay in the woods with Grandad while I jumped out to a small field cut. Bad call for him, good call for me. Had to make a quick shot on him quartering away into the thicket, but “he didn’t goooo 40!”

    Attachments:
    1. PXL_20241109_2141592942-scaled.jpg

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2298046

    Family spot in area 241 northeast of Park Rapids.
    The hunting’s fine, but it’s the hunting camp that matters most.

    there was a nice burst of activity on camera last week when the front came through, but it’s settled down a bit again now.

    Attachments:
    1. IMG_0256.jpg

    2. IMG_0247-scaled.jpg

    3. IMG_0114-scaled.jpg

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2291928

    Jones got a very well-deserved welcome back. Mark Murphy (Packers team President) was the first person to give him a hug once he got out on the field and Brian Gutekunst (GM) wasn’t far behind.

    really cool moment here signing some kids’ shirts. i mean, i guess it is if you like guys in purple… whistling

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2284192

    Didn’t really crash the Eagles.

    are you talking about Wentz?
    he was on his rookie 4-year contract when he got hurt in 2017 which was only $26M over 4 years. even with his injury they like him enough to cut Foles and re-sign him in $2019. he famously underperformed after that.

    Those numbers make me wanna barf.

    because you’d rather that more of the revenue the NFL and the teams generate goes to the owners? right now it’s roughly a 50/50 split, with the player’s share being divided (unevenly) amongst the players and the other half covering staff and then mostly going to. the. owner.
    if a business makes a lot of money, the people owning and working at that business get a lot of money. if people wanted to watch me do my work on TV i’d probably get paid more too.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2283557

    Unless something happens to level off or even a decline in revenue I don’t think it will. The reason these haven’t bit anyone TOO bad yet, is the salary cap keeps jumping up, so locking in a QB at todays market looks good moving forward as the pie grows.

    THIS.

    two interesting trends to watch.
    1) how the NFL continues to grow TV and streaming revenue
    2) prevalence/percentage of guaranteed money in a violent sport

    on the first one, i hope people are prepared for the day when all of the playoff games and even the Super Bowl are on a premium streaming network rather than standard TV. not now, maybe not in 3 years, but it’s coming.

    on the second, a career-ending injury early in a QB’s guaranteed contract will crash a team harder than managing cap issues and the money itself for an underperforming player who stays on the field.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2283351

    If he’s a asshat he goes to the Jets. Life goes on.

    …and shortly thereafter goes to the Vikings. Life goes on. coffee

    all of the eye-raising about contracts for star players overlooks the underlying fact that they’re paid as employees who contribute to the team’s revenue. and NFL revenue is very, very large indeed.

    the NFL itself earned ~$20B last year, with tv-related money being the most.
    they gave $400M of that to every team. in 1 year.
    individually the Packers were 10th in the NFL for revenue last year at $577M.

    but…Green Bay is 2nd most in dead cap money at ~$50M. ironically it’s the Vikings who are carrying the most at $57M. the good news for Green Bay is that they’ve gotten so much younger as a team that even with Love’s new contract they can weather it in 2024 and then their cap situation will clean up starting in 2025 when they’ll need to start making some decisions.

    pay the QBs, they’re worth it, and everyone will be okay.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2282417

    Oooh, they need to paint the Suzi cream to match the boat!

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2260595

    the idea of being “worth it” is very subjective.

    do they do something that’s so different than less expensive versions? no.
    do they catch more fish because they cost more than a similar lure? no.
    is it worth supporting small basement bait builders? yes.

    innovation comes from these craftsman much more so than larger companies who tend to chase the trends. this year’s two “hot” releases are both copies of baits made and proven by others – the 4-tail bulldawg is essentially a medussa, and the livingston tubebait is just a knockoff of the red october. the super hot bucktails over the years have all just been…bucktails.

    if it’s within your budget, supporting craftsman is a choice that’s more about the art and artist than it is about finding a “magic” lure. it’s like buying jeans made in the USA, same pants at triple the price, but might be worth it to you. if a particular lure is outside your budget, find the similar bait that doesn’t cost so much and fish it with confidence.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2260589

    muskie: 54″
    walleyes: 31″ (me) and 30.5″ (son)
    crappies: 17″ (me) and 15.5″ (son) caught back-to-back

    Attachments:
    1. release.jpg

    2. hank2.jpg

    3. crappies-scaled.jpg

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2257057

    wow, those pics from Hawaii are gorgeous!

    we are heading down to Missouri next week Friday to get a jump on the season.
    Payne’s Valley on Saturday, then 4 1/2 rounds in Lake of the Ozarks.

    can’t wait!

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2255688

    lots and lots of stuff for sale, yes.
    it’s one of the best multi-species fishing expos anywhere.

    i’ll be there mid-day on Saturday, it’s an hour drive for me. be prepared to pay for parking on top of the entry fee; the county owns the building so they charge parking separate from the event organizers.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2253468

    Poe’s Jackpot.

    basically a muskie-sized Spook. their best contribution for muskie fishing that they lead to other lure makers inventing better mousetraps with bigger, heavier walk-the-dog baits that had better hooking percentages.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2253465

    yes, Poe’s awaker.
    even if it’s an older one, it’s not valuable old.

    and funny enough, at only 8″ long i consider that to be on the small side for modern muskie lures.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2252564

    That is a weird thing to say about a coach, that recruits and then coaches said players. And BC is a mid-upper tier ACC school. His resume beyond BC is very VERY thin (co-DC for Ohio St., DB coach, assistant DB coach etc.), but you never know.

    regardless of who the coach/recruiter is, Boston College is simply never going to recruit the same kinds of athletes that FSU, or Clemson, or Louisville gets. can’t make them “better” in the physical gift sense. let alone if they’re compared to teams in the actual power conferences such as the B1G or SEC or PAC-RIP.

    his resume is thin if he’s compared to current / former NFL defensive coordinators. when he’s compared to other 1st-time defensive coordinators his resume is typical.

    he’ll do a good job, or he won’t, we’ll wait and see. what i know is that they’ll be more aggressive as a defense under him and that’s what LaFleur was seeking.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2252091

    BC’s numbers are probably influenced by the fact that they’re Boston College moreso than by who their coaches are…you can’t make your players better and it’s a decidedly uphill climb for a school like that one. and aside from 4 years as BC’s head coach, his full resume shouldn’t be overlooked as it is filled with defensive coaching experience on pro teams.

    this is an interesting article – Gutekunst and LaFleur are asking him to run the defense based on what works best for the personnel they have, rather than trying to get those players to run some particular defense. refreshing.

    https://www.packersnews.com/story/sports/nfl/packers/2024/02/01/jeff-hafley-defensive-scheme-will-aim-to-maximize-green-bay-packers-players-abilities/72413296007/

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2249878

    The Pack missed yet another golden opportunity to make it to the Super Bowl. They were on fire going into SF, but they cracked under pressure.

    i don’t know if i see the Packers cracking under pressure as much as just getting beat in a close game by a very good team. and it’s not like the missed field goal was a surprise as he’s not a guy who’d gone 67-67 on extra points and 39-39 on field goals during the season and then suddenly missed one in the big moment… coffee

    As a life-long Vikings fan -I’m now ALL-IN on the Lions and I hope Packer fans are, too!

    definitely! the Lions are the lost step-child of the NFC North. they’re inoffensive with no real rivalries, they’ve consistently found ways to lose, and have simply not mattered. i think the worst indictment of a team is when you don’t care about them, either for or against. nice to see that change.

    As much as we Vikings fans like to complain, we’ve at least been competitive most years since the mid-80s.

    my contention is that simply making the playoffs is pretty easy and we should all expect better than that from a “competitive” team.

    since the start of free agency in 1993:
    Packers have lost 6 NFC Championships, won 3 NFC Championships, lost 1 Super Bowl, and won 2 Super Bowls
    Vikings have lost 4 NFC Championships
    Bears lost 1 NFC Championship, won 1 NFC Championship, lost 1 Super Bowl
    Lions have made it to 1 NFC Championship (TBD)

    we’ll all put the line for what’s acceptable at a different point, but it’s pretty clear that the Lions have not been competitive in 30 years. with free agency and the salary cap the playing field is very level in football. there’s 15 teams in the Conference, so any team that’s run decently “should” win a Conference Championship every 15 years, and win a Super Bowl every 30 years. anything short of that is an organizational failure; more than that is excellence. at this standard the Packers are just slightly above average, and the rest of the NFC North is below.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2249335

    Love’s on-field play this year is a validation of what the team had seen every day in practice over the previous 3 years. it took a half-season for him to adjust his reads to gameday speed, but he did that in spades. that’s a different scenario than judging a true rookie’s performance when they have to play in their first year. i suppose that’s what informed the team in moving on from Rodgers and it’s what will inform the team in deciding on Love’s next contract.

    sewing up your QB spot is money well-spent. a bad injury is the bigger risk than him suddenly forgetting how to play well. the more interesting decision to me is what they’ll do with Aaron Jones who – similar to Love – is entering the final year of his extension. he restructured before this year with a pay cut to stay with the team. i’d like to see them extend again for 2 years and get him his market value as he’s clearly one of the parts that made this late season run possible.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2248824

    not with a firestick and certain applications. these “apps” are out there and they don’t always work and aren’t always HD but they are 100% ad free, on demand and work 90% of the time bruh. toast

    when a guy walks into Fleet Farm, puts a Jiggin’ Rap in his pocket, and walks out the door everyone loses their damn minds about how he’s a POS thief.

    but when a guy uses “certain applications” to stream “100% ad free, on demand, and work 90% of the time bruh” this is just a thing people do?

    strange times.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2248346

    glenn that is rather stupid to declare what ground your hunting.I think they are trying determine how many deer are shot on each.
    Why,who knows.

    it’s the bonus/antlerless permits that are based on the type of land being hunted; the standard buck (or choice depending on location) permit with your license is good anywhere. they provide more bonus antlerless permits for private land because that’s where the deer numbers are highest since that’s where hunting pressure is lower.

    where i live in south-central WI you get your buck permit plus two antlerless when you purchase your initial license. i just put in for one of each, public and private (i mostly hunt public but occasionally get invited to private). you can buy essentially unlimited additional doe permits, so it’s not a limiting factor here at all.

    in some areas further north where there are some antlerless permits available by draw, it’s more critical to know where you’re hunting as there are fewer available for public land.

    Michael C. Winther
    Reedsburg, WI
    Posts: 1515
    #2248344

    Fubo, YoutubeTV and Hulu+ are all pretty similar. Fubo is about $10 a month more last I checked. Fubo you get Bally for now anyway, who knows where that is going to end up.

    on Amazon! i can’t wait.
    the $190/year that Bally’s wanted for their streaming was crazy-talk.

Viewing 30 posts - 1 through 30 (of 1,246 total)