Removing Ford Dam (LD1) would be a big help to restoring spawning habitat for lake sturgeon and paddlefish. It would restore large rock and fast water that lake sturgeon prefer for spawning. Gravel bars would also likely be restored, which is what paddlefish need. The rest of Pool 2 would be relatively unchanged. The big change would be to Pool 1. Water levels in Pool 1 would drop, current would be faster, habitat would be more coarse, and would benefit a large number of river species. Pool 1 as it is right now is beneficial to common carp. Yes there are other fish there, but given the lack of fishing pressure in Pool 1, you might think it was a hidden gem because accessibility is terrible. I am continually unimpressed with the fish population as a whole in Pool 1.
While the habitat would be restored, that doesn’t necessarily mean the fish would return to spawn there. Pool 2 is relatively devoid of lake sturgeon. I have worked on Pool 2 since 2008. I have seen one lake sturgeon. One. In 2015. I put a transmitter in that fish, and in less than 3 weeks, it was in the St Croix and has not been back since. That fish likely originated from the St Croix, it went for a little swim and got past Lock & Dam #2 (no small feat), and we happened to get our hands on it while it was on its way back home. We have implanted 47 lake sturgeon with transmitters between the St Croix, Pool 4, and the one in Pool 2. Some haven’t been at large for very long and most were immature, so things could change, but I have only seen one lake sturgeon swim as far as the Ford Dam. It went there in July and was probably a juvenile, so it wasn’t there on a spawning run. After it bonked its head on the Ford Dam, it went downstream a few miles and took off at least 25 miles up the Minnesota River for about 2 weeks then went back to the St Croix. So if the lake sturgeon spawning habitat is restored in Pool 1/Pool 2, the lake sturgeon would need to get past LD2 in Hastings first. That dam is one of the hardest for fish to pass (only LD5 may be harder to pass). Yes fish can lock through, but they are not drawn to a lock. They are drawn to flow and the dam gates. If the water is high enough, the gates are out of the water and velocity through the gates is reduced, making it easier for fish to pass.
Paddlefish are a different story. There appears to be a resident population of paddlefish in the Minnesota River, and they will utilize the Mississippi as well. We have seen transmitter paddlefish swimming laps, going as far as 200 miles up the Minnesota River, and exploring a good portion, if not all of Pool 2. Again, not very many years of data, but we have seen 5 transmitter paddlefish show up below Ford Dam and I have seen other paddlefish below the dam in the summer. None of those observations appear to be for spawning purposes (maybe one in mid-May). That movement is more summer travels. Those transmitter fish were implanted in different areas, one in the Minnesota River, two in Pool 2, one in Pool 3, and one in Pool 4. So at least two of them passed LD2 to get up to the Ford Dam. Given a good number of paddlefish end up below LD2 in the spring (15 paddlefish transmitters there in spring of 2018) and the low number that pass into Pool 2 (2 transmitters in 2018, one in spring one in summer), just reinforces the fact that LD2 is hard to pass (and we don’t really know if they have a desire to pass, we assume they would pass if it was easier, but it is possible that is their final destination, but I think they are making due with the situation). Since there appears to be a paddlefish population above LD2, removal of the Ford Dam could be beneficial to paddlefish providing more spawning habitat. I don’t think the paddlefish that are currently in the Minnesota River/Pool 2 are just coming from downstream. I think they are maintaining their population, probably spawning in the Minnesota River.
Shovelnose sturgeon are similar to paddlefish in that there is a resident population in the Minnesota River. They don’t appear to travel as much as paddlefish though. I have seen one shovelnose sturgeon in Pool 2 in 10 years. It was close to the Minnesota River confluence and would have been a state record by about a pound. I haven’t seen a shovelnose in Pool 2 since the telemetry project started, but my counterpart in Hutchinson implanted a bunch and I have yet to see them in the metro. Shovelnose start showing up again in Pool 3, below LD2 in Hastings. I’m no shovelnose expert, but they seem to prefer faster water with sand and gravel bottoms. Removing the Ford Dam would create that and shovelnose would likely move in if they ever moved far enough to find it.
I know that is a really long winded answer. The short take home message is yes, removing the Ford Dam would improve the habitat for sturgeon and paddlefish. I think paddlefish would take advantage of it for spawning before sturgeon would because there is an established population that would find it. Sturgeon would find it eventually, but LD2 would be the barrier slowing down Pool 2/Minnesota River recovery, at least for lake sturgeon. Other dams are not near the barrier that LD2 is. LD3 in Red Wing, it’s a sieve. We’ve had all kinds of transmitter fish pass that dam. Walleye, flathead catfish, muskellunge, white bass, and almost 40% of our lake sturgeon and paddlefish have been documented passing that dam.
Joel