Bottom line is that The Twins may have to rely on Maeda to be a top 3 starter in their rotation; whereas on a true Championship Series caliber team he was a #4-6 starter. That is where the realization comes in that the Twins still aren’t in a position to compete deep into the playoffs.
And yes there are stats out there that suggest Maeda has top-end stuff – but if you read this excerpt about how he was used (and not used) by his former team, you realize that many of the stats today can be skewed to support a position that he’s better than we think/hope:
“The Dodgers’ plan with Maeda (to protect him), was to minimize his exposure to opponents for the third time through the batting order in any game. That prevented Maeda from running into trouble as batters grew accustomed to his two-pitch combinations.“
Top of the rotation starters aren’t limited to 2 times through the batting order and then “hooked” for a middle reliever like Maeda was in LA. He is a #4 or #5 starter at best on a Championship/World Series caliber team. And remeber there aren’t #4/5 starters in the current playoff format with so many days off in between. All you need are 3 top starters. Really, really good ones. In the end, when it counts in the playoffs, Maeda should probably be a bullpen guy (like Graterol would have been).
In the end, Maeda may help us contend during the regular season, but if he ends up being a top 3 starter in our rotation, it’s a reflection we still lack the horses to go deep in the playoffs.