Twins 2020

  • Dutchboy
    Central Mn.
    Posts: 16648
    #1912817

    Dodgers only had two top line starters, Kershaw & Buehler after that was Ryu & Hill. So last year he maybe deserved the trip to the pen but previous years when Ryu was nothing he still couldn’t beat him out.

    Like I said I don’t care. For the Twinks to get beyond the first round Pinada will need to be the 3 not Meadea or Hill.

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1912880

    Anyone want to play a game? Games are fun. These are screenshots of 4 diagrams of common statistics that are more predicative to a pitchers worth than W-L record and ERA. Two of these players were free agents this year and the other two were starters on contracts but were either heavily rumored to be dealt or were actually traded.

    Can you guess who is who? Cmon, its February and I’m bored.

    If I get any takers, label them like so-
    A B
    C D

    Attachments:
    1. Screen-Shot-2020-02-05-at-4.16.20-PM-copy.jpg

    2. Screen-Shot-2020-02-05-at-4.17.09-PM-copy.jpg

    3. Screen-Shot-2020-02-05-at-4.17.47-PM-copy.jpg

    4. Screen-Shot-2020-02-05-at-4.15.51-PM-copy.jpg

    Dutchboy
    Central Mn.
    Posts: 16648
    #1912886

    I can’t play. Those stats mean nothing to me.

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1912889

    I can’t play. Those stats mean nothing to me.

    Well that certainly isn’t a surprise jester

    BigWerm
    SW Metro
    Posts: 11570
    #1912892

    At least throw out the names, so there is a chance of getting it right. But I’d guess the new Twins pitcher is D.

    Jensen
    Posts: 461
    #1912898

    I can’t play. Those stats mean nothing to me.

    🤣🤣😅😂😂🤣

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1912907

    Big Werm is right, Maeda is in there somewhere. Along with Wheeler, Sale, and Keuchel.

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1912912

    I think I know the answer. Based on analytics Maeda is the best starting pitcher in the game right now…… yay yay yay yay

    Sorry Tbro….Couldn’t resist. Those charts give me a headache. I had a whole novel written out here on how I don’t understand why the amount of runs a pitcher gives up doesn’t seem to matter to analytics guys when that is how you win or lose and ultimately shows you if a pitcher is able to stop teams from scoring. I ended up erasing it all because of the endless mind numbing debate we’d enter into again……

    eyeguy507
    SE MN
    Posts: 5213
    #1912913

    I can’t play. Those stats mean nothing to me.

    X2….
    I’ll take Sale, which one is he? The other 3 are mediocre pitchers.

    Pailofperch
    Central Mn North of the smiley water tower
    Posts: 2918
    #1912960

    Anyone want to play a game? Games are fun.

    Is this your way of tricking us into paying attention to analytics??? Gotta get up earlier than that! hah

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1912993

    I’ll take Sale, which one is he? The other 3 are mediocre pitchers.

    I don’t understand why the amount of runs a pitcher gives up doesn’t seem to matter to analytics guys

    Funny you both bring that up! According to mahto and other anti-analytic folks’ favorite stat, ERA, Sale was the worst of the four pitchers last year. His 4.4 ERA was about a half run worse than Maeda, Wheeler, and Keuchel. He’s also making 10x the money Maeda is rotflol

    Do agree that ERA has a time and a place but it doesnt tell the full story. Assumes all defenses are equal and all ballparks are the same size. Earned runs allowed is a nice measure of how each individual start goes, just doesnt always tell the whole story for an entire season. Too much luck/bad bounce involved. ERA should be used along side hard hit rate, xBA, and xOBA (x simply means expected), among others.

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1912994

    endless mind numbing debate

    Pretty much summarizes this entire website, especially in the winter. Shoot it. I wont be offended toast

    Jensen
    Posts: 461
    #1913034

    Deal on hold Boston concerned about medical exam of Graterol.

    FryDog62
    Posts: 3696
    #1913037

    Bottom line is that The Twins may have to rely on Maeda to be a top 3 starter in their rotation; whereas on a true Championship Series caliber team he was a #4-6 starter. That is where the realization comes in that the Twins still aren’t in a position to compete deep into the playoffs.

    And yes there are stats out there that suggest Maeda has top-end stuff – but if you read this excerpt about how he was used (and not used) by his former team, you realize that many of the stats today can be skewed to support a position that he’s better than we think/hope:

    “The Dodgers’ plan with Maeda (to protect him), was to minimize his exposure to opponents for the third time through the batting order in any game. That prevented Maeda from running into trouble as batters grew accustomed to his two-pitch combinations.“

    Top of the rotation starters aren’t limited to 2 times through the batting order and then “hooked” for a middle reliever like Maeda was in LA. He is a #4 or #5 starter at best on a Championship/World Series caliber team. And remeber there aren’t #4/5 starters in the current playoff format with so many days off in between. All you need are 3 top starters. Really, really good ones. In the end, when it counts in the playoffs, Maeda should probably be a bullpen guy (like Graterol would have been).

    In the end, Maeda may help us contend during the regular season, but if he ends up being a top 3 starter in our rotation, it’s a reflection we still lack the horses to go deep in the playoffs.

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1913040

    Bottom line is that The Twins may have to rely on Maeda to be a top 3 starter in their rotation; whereas on a true Championship Series caliber team he was a #4-6 starter. There is where the realization comes in that the Twins still aren’t in a position to compete deep into the playoffs.

    And yes there are stats out there that suggest Maeda has top-end stuff – but if you read this excerpt about how he was used (and not used) by his former team, you realize that many of the stats today can be skewed to support a position that he’s better than we think:

    “The Dodgers’ plan with Maeda (to protect him), was to minimize his exposure to opponents for the third time through the batting order in any game. That prevented Maeda from running into trouble as batters grew accustomed to his two-pitch combinations.“

    Top of the rotation starters aren’t limited to 2 times through the batting order and then “hooked” for a middle reliever like Maeda was in LA. He is a #4 or #5 starter at best on a Championship/World Series caliber team. And remeber there aren’t #4/5 starters in the current playoff format with so many days off in between. All you need are 3 top starters. Really, really good ones. In the end, when it counts Maeda should probably be a bullpen guy (like Graterol would have been).

    In the end, Maeda May help us compete during the regular season, but if he ends up being a top 3 starter in our rotation, it’s a reflection we still lack the horses to go deep in the playoffs.

    Frydog, almost every team in the bigs is trying to limit their pitchers from going through the order a third time. I don’t see that as much of a reflection on Maeda. And for the 98th time, no one is saying that this move is making the Twins a World Series contender. And you all just might get your wish on getting your relief pitcher back. His medical a don’t seem to be checking out to Boston’s liking.

    Now we all can suffer through more Dobnak/Smeltzer starts.

    eyeguy507
    SE MN
    Posts: 5213
    #1913068

    Sale had one, yes one rough season in a decade. I’ll chalk it up as a mirage since many great pitchers had similar results due to juiced balls. His salary is high because of his consistency and no way the Twins take that on, but if you give me the option of who gets game 1 in the playoffs…..I’ll take Sale with one arm….preferably his left, over this Kenny guy 10 out of 10 times.
    You don’t need advanced stats to see the talent gap.

    eyeguy507
    SE MN
    Posts: 5213
    #1913071

    Deal on hold Boston concerned about medical exam of Graterol.

    There had to be a reason since they refused to include him in any trade last year. I find it comical when these pro franchises say certain guys are “untouchable”. Anyone is available for the right price.

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1913075

    I’m kind of surprised that Boston wouldn’t know about Graterol’s arm issues. Unless there is something new (which I don’t know what would’ve happened) all his history is common knowledge. Seems odd.

    Oh and by the way, Maeda has almost identical numbers as Berrios and has a higher k rate…..getting another Berrios for a one inning bullpen arm (which is reportedly about to fall off) is fine with me.

    Hopefully it still goes through.

    moustachesteve
    Twin Cities
    Posts: 540
    #1913334

    Boston absolutely knew about Graterol. His medical history was no secret, nor was the Twins’ assessment that he wasn’t a fit for SP. They’re balking now because of the PR blowback of getting rid of Betts. Simple as that. Plus the Twins have the least incentive of all teams in this deal to make sure it goes through. If BOS wants more they can take it up with LAD.

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1913443

    Agreed! I have no idea how medical clearance works with trades but I won’t believe for a second that Boston found something there that they didn’t already know. They would have done their due diligence before ever accepting the offer in the first place. What changed?

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1913448

    Good work Big Werm, he got Maeda correct. He and Wheeler had very similar numbers last year. Sale all over the board. Keuchel was not so hot.

    A- Sale
    B- Wheeler
    C- Keuchel
    D- Maeda

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1913518

    I don’t understand how Boston can hold up this whole trade because they clearly didn’t do their homework on Graterol. This is all on Boston from what I can tell. They agreed to the trade, why let them hold it up and then even demand more from the Twins? Heard they are asking for another top ten prospect AND Graterol. Thank God it sounds like the Twins are saying F off!

    Dutchboy
    Central Mn.
    Posts: 16648
    #1913556

    They are holding it up because of the blowback from the fan base. Boston fans feel they got absolutely robbed losing Betts & Price and getting only one piece back (Verdugo?) that might turn into something. On MLB radio they were speculating they are trying to get the Dodgers to toss in another guy of value.

    Unless the Twins agree to change the deal I think it stands from the Twins standpoint.

    tbro16
    Inactive
    St Paul
    Posts: 1170
    #1913566

    Theres no doubt. Some are trying to claim this is standard procedure during the offseason when teams have more time to look at medicals blah blah. BS. I’m with ya Dutch, like most Twins fans. Absurd this has dragged on as long as it has. Manfred has not made very many friends this offseason.. good lord. Whatever he did to benefit the players in the Astros scandal he has lost with the MLBPA for this nonsense.

    Dutchboy
    Central Mn.
    Posts: 16648
    #1913596

    Lots of moving parts on this. This is also holding up a trade of Joc Peterson and Ross Stripling from the Dodgers to the Angles.

    Oh, BTW spring training is starting within a week for most clubs and the Red Sox still haven’t named a manager. crazy

    Dan
    Southeast MN
    Posts: 3774
    #1913620

    According to the Strib, the Twins have pulled out of the deal.

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1913625

    Yep. Twins are out. That’s BS the Twins have to lose out on this deal because the Sox decided Graterol isn’t what they thought he was. We got screwed in this.

    Dutchboy
    Central Mn.
    Posts: 16648
    #1913632

    Well, only if you think Maeda is better than Graterol.

    Graterol isn’t proven yet….Maeda is and he is a 4 or 3 at best. This may turn out best for the Twinks. Now that everybody knows the Twinks will move him more offers will come. All teams value players differently, might be a team out there sees a huge upside for Graterol and is willing to pay for it.

    Nothing gained, nothing loss.

    mahtofire14
    Mahtomedi, MN
    Posts: 11036
    #1913663

    Well, only if you think Maeda is better than Graterol.

    Graterol isn’t proven yet….Maeda is and he is a 4 or 3 at best. This may turn out best for the Twinks. Now that everybody knows the Twinks will move him more offers will come. All teams value players differently, might be a team out there sees a huge upside for Graterol and is willing to pay for it.

    Nothing gained, nothing loss.

    I will take an above average starting pitcher over Graterol all day long. This team needs a starter over a guy that was mediocre out of the pen last year. We got screwed.

Viewing 30 posts - 541 through 570 (of 1,393 total)

You must be logged in to reply to this topic.