Someone Has to Do It: Ice Predictions

  • buckybadger
    Upper Midwest
    Posts: 8175
    #2234741

    Alright armchair meteorologists, what are your predictions for ice-up in different portions of the state?

    My completely unscientific guess that means nothing yet:

    -There may be a slightly later than normal ice up for most parts of the state. Here along Pool 4 we have x3 days of forecasted 62 degree temps next week. We are usually on the river backwaters that first week of December on decent ice, and I just cannot see that without some major changes to the forecast.

    gimruis
    Plymouth, MN
    Posts: 17391
    #2234747

    Next week does look quite warm. I see several days in the 50’s and another near or at 60.

    isu22andy
    Posts: 1741
    #2234750

    Fishable ice on the backwaters of pool 4 my guess is December 12th .

    Riverrat
    Posts: 1528
    #2234751

    The sunday after thanksgiving

    JEREMY
    BP
    Posts: 3902
    #2234766

    Dont know but im gonna drive on Red the day after Thanksgiving with my 1 ton pickem up truck and tri axle fish house.

    FinnyDinDin
    Posts: 809
    #2234772

    Thanksgiving on red ain’t looking good this year. My long term forecast goes out to the 22nd and doesn’t even look like small water will freeze by then.
    Maybe I will yank the boat out of storage to hit Black Friday in the skeeter.

    My guess is first week of December for ice.

    Steven Krapfl
    Springville, Iowa
    Posts: 1724
    #2234775

    I’m guessing I’ll be on ice here in Iowa sometime around Christmas, but I’m guessing some people will be out earlier.

    biggill
    East Bethel, MN
    Posts: 11321
    #2234777

    This was December 3, 2022. I’m thinking December 14th this year for fishable skatable ice.

    Attachments:
    1. IMG_4550-scaled.jpeg

    tim hurley
    Posts: 5831
    #2234785

    Easier to predict when the temp is trending down in a somewhat linear way-we had snow but now we are going UP for another week.

    Youbetcha
    Anoka County
    Posts: 2851
    #2234792

    Id bet some metro lakes will be fishable the last week in November first week of December

    lindyrig79
    Forest Lake / Lake Mille Lacs
    Posts: 5797
    #2234794

    New Years Day would work for me.

    Jimmy Jones
    Posts: 2816
    #2234795

    New Years Day would work for me.

    March 22, 2024 would be good at this end. For a day. Then it can warm up again.

    gimruis
    Plymouth, MN
    Posts: 17391
    #2234798

    My long term forecast goes out to the 22nd and doesn’t even look like small water will freeze by then.

    According to the radio, it’s supposed to stay relatively warm all the way until Thanksgiving. I’m guessing most of November will be open water fishing.

    I may actually have to mow the lawn again.

    suzuki
    Woodbury, Mn
    Posts: 18621
    #2234812

    I don’t think Erie and the north Shore are going to shine this year.

    buckybadger
    Upper Midwest
    Posts: 8175
    #2234845

    We’re definitely not going to break any records for early ice if the longer range forecasts are correct:

    Attachments:
    1. 814temp.new_-scaled.gif

    lindyrig79
    Forest Lake / Lake Mille Lacs
    Posts: 5797
    #2234848

    Beautiful

    Charles
    Posts: 1944
    #2234852

    So how is red lake in a boat after thanksgiving?

    Jason
    Posts: 804
    #2234855

    So how is red lake in a boat after thanksgiving?

    I think that I will be doing a cast and blast there this weekend. Kill ducks in the morning and pluck some walleyes out in the afternoon.
    I drove by there on Tuesday afternoon and there was only approx a small amount of ice along the far eastern shoreline but after today’s wind that will be all gone if it isn’t already.
    Docks are pulled out at the river, but West Wind leaves theirs in as long as their marina ice opens up.

    Joe Jarl
    SW Wright County
    Posts: 1936
    #2234879

    It wasn’t too many years ago I had the boat out early December in Wright Co. I suspect this may be another of those years.

    fishthumper
    Sartell, MN.
    Posts: 11923
    #2234908

    Looking at the forecast around here. I don’t see any ice fishing in Nov. My guess is it will be at least the 2nd week in Dec. at the earliest. Then again this is Minnesota and that could all change in a hurry. about 4-5 years ago I was out on Thanksgiving day ice fishing and it was my 3rd ice outing that season already. I have picture of other years where we were still fishing out of a boat on Dec. 15th. You just never know.

    Bass Pundit
    8m S. of Platte/Sullivan Lakes, Minnesocold
    Posts: 1776
    #2234925

    2015 is the only year I have fished open water in December since moving North in 2003. I have no record of even fishing in December from 2005 to 2013. I took a break from ice fishing from 2007 to 2013. I don’t know that Platte Lake will have safe ice by December 1st at this rate, which is fine with me. Eyes in Mille Lacs are shallow and hungry this year.

    Bearcat89
    North branch, mn
    Posts: 20360
    #2234927

    I’m guessing my early ice red trip won’t be Thanksgiving.

    fishthumper
    Sartell, MN.
    Posts: 11923
    #2235048

    I’m guessing my early ice red trip won’t be Thanksgiving.

    With the current forecast I kind of Doubt it. Don’t be one of those guys were are hearing or reading about in the news grin

    Bearcat89
    North branch, mn
    Posts: 20360
    #2235068

    I was reading about those guys last year as we were way out on a bridge we built. Came back in and built another bridge. Crossed our bridge and did it all over the next day. All while everyone else was freaking out about a crack. It was awesome. We didn’t see people for 5 days.

    Justin riegel
    Posts: 936
    #2235092

    If The Accuweather forecast for December is accurate (it wont be), we will not have fishable ice until after New Years in the Metro.

    Charles
    Posts: 1944
    #2235417

    Even the two week forecast its going to be warm. So I don’t think Red is going to happen unless I bring a boat lol.

    Bearcat89
    North branch, mn
    Posts: 20360
    #2235436

    Even the two week forecast its going to be warm. So I don’t think Red is going to happen unless I bring a boat lol.

    We talked about boats and shot guns. Grouse and walleye. But I’m sure we will just stay home

    buckybadger
    Upper Midwest
    Posts: 8175
    #2235438

    I don’t follow all the URL resorts and whatnot on social media, but I am assuming they will be pushed back at least a couple weeks from their typical start? If I get my crap done, this could be the first year in a long time I show up at some overcrowded ice show. I never attend because it’s during the best fishing of the entire season, but this year there may not be ice.

    Charles
    Posts: 1944
    #2235460

    <div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Charles wrote:</div>
    Even the two week forecast its going to be warm. So I don’t think Red is going to happen unless I bring a boat lol.

    We talked about boats and shot guns. Grouse and walleye. But I’m sure we will just stay home

    Yeah I am same predicament, I am thinking just hunkering down on Gull lake for a day.

    Brian Klawitter
    Keymaster
    Minnesota/Wisconsin Mississippi River
    Posts: 59992
    #2235529

    I’m not sure what’s going to happen to Pool 4 this year.

    We’ve had ONE reactor shut down before and when it went into late Jan/Feb, it was a mess.

    Today both reactors are shut down and rumor has it, they won’t be started again until Jan 1st (assuming no delays). Excel won’t talk about it, something to do with competition adjusting their prices?

    It’s going to be a learning experience for a bunch of us. crazy

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