2 years is a long time. Good contractors have work whenever they want it, but I’d still shop around and kick the tires on others. 2024 is a long wait to be in an RV/Ice Castle. Doable? – yes. Ideal? – no. I agree that selling is a smart move, but I would do some hustling to get a builder under contract soon.
We are currently building, and the supply chain stuff is a bit overblown if you are proactive and know the industry. Our stuff is coming almost exclusively from the Midwest. Windows, trusses, floor trusses, and fiberglass surrounds were out a ways…but nothing that couldn’t be planned around. The news, media, and local know-it-alls love to make problems worse than they are. Make your purchases at a local lumberyard that knows the ins and outs of every product and gets daily updates on the whereabouts of orders. Ordering thousands of dollars of home building materials from a Menards or Home Depot right now may be a mistake with keeping track of things considering most would be coming from overseas.
As far as prices go, I don’t see 2022 being significantly different than 2021. All eyes are to 2023 for any sense of “normalcy.” The Covid talk, variants, etc. aren’t going anywhere soon. There will still be labor shortages and inflation isn’t going to instantly halt if the Fed pulls interest rates up 0.25%. What people forget is that material prices are not the only things that are a part of inflation. Wages follow just behind that and regardless of what the Fed does…wages are permanent changes. I’m a firm believer that “waiting” for prices to go down in the construction industry will just leave you waiting to pay inflated prices later. Sure, some building products may go down in a few years…but wages are never going backwards and wages are a huge factor in construction. It’s not a popular opinion, but I truly believe it will be cheaper to build something now than it will be 2, 3, or even 10 years from now.
Best of luck with everything. Keep us updated with how it goes.