I keep hearing about how many people have recently quit their job. Everyone is hiring and short of workers.
The worker has a lot of leverage in this labor market. I understand that. If you want a better job, you can get one. The national unemployment rate is 4.2% right now.
Retirement is one major explanation. We’ve been warned for years that the very large Baby Boomer generation is reaching retirement age. Even the youngest Baby Boomers are now almost 60. Well, guess what? More than half of that generation is PAST the age of 65 and most Baby Boomers don’t intend to wait until 65 to retire they are punching the eject button now.
And why shouldn’t they? The economy is red hot. The value of their house is at historic highs as is the value of their retirement savings accounts. They simply don’t need to work anymore.
The other thing that factors into the Great Resignation is that we get good data on who quits their jobs, but we don’t get good data on where those exact workers GO after they quit.
Many workers are quitting, that’s true. But they are turning up in other jobs by taking advantage of unprecedented demand. They aren’t really quitting, they are giving themselves a promotion.
In this great game of musical jobs, it’s the low-paid service and hospitality jobs that are simply going unfilled. The hard reality is that there are plenty of other options other than restaurant work or other low-paid service work, so, shockingly, nobody wants those jobs and the simple economics state that isn’t going to change until they pay more.
Mrs Grouse works in tech and she started a new gig today. Technically, she would have contributed to any report that showed a reduction in employees on payroll because she took a few weeks off between gigs, so she was one of the millions of people who quit.
But she started at another Silly Valley firm today and in her “new hire” virtual conference today, she was one of 147 other employees who were statting at this tech company THIS WEEK.
There’s going to be those trying to spin this as some kind of bad sign, but that’s just BS.