At least with other species, the estimate methods are based on some reasonably sound sampling practices that count actual animals–either by sound or sight.
With wolves, the the DNR’s estimating methods are based, essentially, on a combination of reported sightings, estimates based on the estimates of maximum carrying capacity of the habitat, and other methods. What all of these have in common is that they are not statistically valid because they are estimates based on assumptions or theories about what the population might be.
But then the DNR uses these theories to come up with a very exact sounding number that in no way can be verified.
The DNR needs to come clean about this inability to count the wolf population. It’s harming their relationship with all sides. Start issuing a “population range” based only on actual sightings and stop this pretense of accuracy.
In a fit of irony, the most accurate valid method of estimating the wolf population could well be the hunter/trapper success ratio.
Grouse
