March 11th and April 9th are the full moons … so the run should start closer to the March Moon although the biggest day or actually night may be the 9th of April. The days will be real long by then so the peak days/nights might even be on the new moon. If the temps are 40-45 there should be large numbers of fish in spawning areas second week of March.
The ice went out almost three weeks earlier than average this years so that also makes me think we should be expecting the solid start of the run on the March full moon. Some of the females are already in place, because the redhorse are holding in spawning areas already, even though not a lot of large females are being caught yet.
Redhorse in case you haven’t heard are walleye egg lovers, and I usually only catch them in big numbers during the walleye spawn or in walleye spawn areas just before, during and after the spawn.