You have probably already checked out http://www.yamaha-motor.com but here are a couple of performance bulletin’s that show some data about your motor.
Here is a G3 boat with a comparable weight:
G3 HP 170
Here is a deep hull but heavier boat:
Glasstron GX 180
Looks like you should get 50 mph and 5 mpg with a 21″ prop. But like an earlier message, it will depend on your load and how fast you want to get on plane. My Dad has a 1650 with a 80 HP Yamaha 4 stroke. He started with a 15″ pitch and was on plane in less than 3 seconds. He has since changed to a 19″ prop and gets on plane relatively fast but gets around 40 mph on top end.