I would not be afraid to say yes either. Around here it is usually the second to third week of April when the girls do their deed. I have no idea what they will do this year. We have a combination of low water and early rise in water temps. I doubt this is a good thing but do not know.
I think that in most of the pools a large part of the female population depend on that high water to access a general area or maybe even a specific location if it is possible. If not then they have to find a secondary location. This will take a toll on them but their bodies will give them a week or two flex as far as water temps and conditions go. It will be interesting to see what happens this year??? We have a couple weeks to left yet before anything happens in my opinion.
A good friend gave me a very good analogy to look at…
“Fish are more like a plant with fins” Only a few things dictate their survival. They need adequate surrounding, food and the ability to reproduce. Their bodies tell them what to do. Not their minds unlike us. Keeping that in mind there is a chance that they will stay on schedule for the spawn. If the shallow areas they prefer are not available they may have to stay deeper and be left out in the main channel and drop seeds with the saugers.. Make some little saugeye vabies