Hunting in 159. Deer numbers are high and every hunter on my property sees multiple deer every day. During the summer, the time-lapse trail cams show large numbers of deer in every field, so overall the heard size is large and probably near optimal.
As always with Northwoods hunting within 90 miles of the metro, our #1 problem is the shortage of mid-range bucks because simply put, hunters kill them all. It’s a hunter’s choice area, but when I go into the processor’s place, it is overwhelming the number of small bucks that are killed in the area.
Casual hunter observations during the deer season, IMO, don’t really indicate much as far as being an accurate gauge of deer population. Mainly, because:
1. Disturbed deer in many areas will go nocturnal and depending on moon phase, they may ONLY move/eat at night if they are pressured.
2. Hunter kill rates also can’t be used as an accurate gauge of deer populations because they go up and down depending on hunter participation (MN says license sales are down 3% this year) and overall hunter effort.
In 159, participation and effort seem to be way, way down. Camps near us that used to be full of 4-15 hunters, now have 1-2 people hunting and they are not spending nearly the amount of time hunting that they used to 10-20 years ago.
Driving north on I35 the evening before the season opens in Zone 1, the traffic this year was about the same as any other Friday night. It used to be holiday weekend mayhem on I35, but over the past 5 years, I’ve noticed a huge drop.
3. More properties are now managed for wildlife, so deer will gravitate toward these properties and if the cover is good, they don’t go wandering around the neighborhood.
I can easily see where neighboring properties assume there are no deer when in reality there is a lot of deer that are all holed up in a sanctuary area on a managed property where they have plenty of cover, food, and water such that they don’t have to go walking around the section getting shot at.
The best info on the local herd size is to have time-lapse cameras out on fields and food plots in October. The deer are undisturbed and they are feeding aggressively due to cooler nights. Waiting until November when there are guys in orange crashing around everywhere isn’t going to show the real picture.