Last week my boss pissed me off by saying “the virus isn’t predicable” – he had had the opportunity to understand this pandemic better but chose not to. He was right in that you can’t predict exactly when and where the virus will appear, but the big picture outbreak was 100% predictable probably by mid-late January. And – if we did nothing – the future is also predictable. This video is a nice explanation of how this epidemic has progressed and where it’ll go (again, with no control measures).
Exponential growth and epidemics
If, after watching the video you want see where the world, US and other countries are in the process, this is a good site:
Worldometers Coronavirus