I don’t know Matt. The more I look at this wintering fish, the more questions I have that challenge what I have like you, come to believe.
I don’t have the answers, but I do have the questions!
Some of the flats do not have any silt/sand on their backs.
Many have a gritty sand that one would think is too heavy to be called silt.
One location had a few flats wintering in it, now they are gone. This one might be explained because I saw a photo of a flat boated and release there. I do not know how many were caught…but the dozen or so that were wintering there are now gone. Other factors may be involved here that have nothing to do with fishing too as the flow and levels have changed since I saw them last.
Does anyone have a house boat we can anchor above a pile of wintering flats? I think six or so weeks video and monitoring the river changes might confirm some “set in stone” thoughts we have or change them completely.