There’s going to be a lot of parity in the league this year among the mid-tier and top notch teams which makes for a good product as a fan.
I think the Packers and Vikings finish with identical regular season records. Both have talent in some key spots on both sides of the ball to carry them both to the playoffs (one as a wildcard team).
My off the cuff “rankings” for top 10 teams as of now:
1. Buffalo Bills – Allen is a stud. They have depth in most areas. They have a roster with some playoff experience that should start to shine through. The only question mark is maybe their secondary with a few injuries to start the year.
2. Tampa Bay Bucs – Their division is weak and they should sweep it without issues. Brady could come in rusty, but it ultimately won’t matter. He’s the ultimate professional and wouldn’t have come back had he not been confident they can make a run at another Lombardi. The offense has some special pieces. You cannot cover everyone they have simultaneously, and Brady knows it.
3. Kansas City Chiefs – They will be battle tested within their own division. Mahomes can take over games even without Tyreek Hill. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the offense run even more smoothly now with one less element of drama demanding targets. Andy Reid is also the best offense coach on the planet.
4. LA Rams – The roster remains largely intact from a SB which is an impressive feat in itself. They’re not any younger, but they now know what it takes to win. Stafford reportedly is banged up, which could quickly plummet their stock.
5. San Francisco 49ers – I think people are wrong when they say it’s all on Trey Lance. He has a tremendous supporting cast and a coach who can scheme with the best of them. They’re arguably one of the deeper teams in the league as well. They may have some growing pains from Lance in spots, but the physicality this team possesses will pay dividends more often than not.
6. LA Chargers – This team keeps adding pieces year after year to build it the right way and for the long haul. They remind me a lot of the Bills a couple years ago. They will be a substantially better team than a few who make the playoffs by default from bad divisions after their weekly gauntlet in the West.
7. Minnesota Vikings – It pains me to put them ahead of the Packers, but they have very few weaknesses. The only real question marks I see are how the O line performs and how the secondary does against some of the league’s better offenses. Hunter should have a nice bounce back with Smith garnering a lot of attention on the opposite side. Jefferson should lead the league in yards at the WR spot. Cook is a pro bowl talent when healthy. The new coaching staff seems to have the locker room completely on board.
8. Baltimore Ravens – I’m not overly high on Lamar Jackson as a franchise elite qb like some are. However, their ability to run the ball, get him on the edge, and use RPOs makes them a tough prep for any team in a week’s time. They are another team like the 49ers whose physicality tends to win them a handful of games alone each season.
9. Cincinnati Bengals – Yes this looks low. They went to the SB and Burrow should only get better. I just don’t see their roster being as talented as some above this spot collectively. The defense played really well late last year to match their offense. I’m not sure I see that happening again.
10. Green Bay Packers – They have invested in their defense, but at what cost? One could easily argue this is the least talented WR group in the entire league which could cause fireworks with Rodgers. Add to that the realization that their all pro Tackle is not healthy still (and May never be)…and it’s hard to see them as more than a wildcard team. Rodgers will have his MVP type drives and moments, but this team still has a lot to prove to be a contender.
Honorable Mention: Cowboys, Colts, Eagles, Titans, Raiders