Dumba and Fiala are cut from the same cloth… high event players that are always making something happen, sometimes good and sometimes bad. Both very polarizing with fans and coaches alike. From an entertainment perspective I love it, but can totally see how they can drive fans and coaches crazy too. One difference is Dumba has seemed to grow his game and is more physical and blocking a lot of shots in recent years. He still has his moments of bad mistakes and WTF plays but he’s definitely rounding out his game. Fiala is still a player that if he’s not scoring, he’s not helping the team.
I don’t see Dumba’s next contract being that big… I think it’ll be closer to $6m where he’s at right now. Who are his comparables anymore? He’s supposed to be an offensive D but the last 3 seasons he has less points than Brodin, and we all know the other half of his game does not measure up to Slippery Jimmy. If he really has any chance at $8m open market then he would have been traded by now, but other teams obviously don’t value him at that.
Fiala has been an enigma this season. The last 2 seasons he’s been excellent at creating his own chances and finishing them… shooting roughly 12%. This season he’s actually setting career bests in shots, scoring chances, and xG per time on ice but his finishing has gone in the tank. Why? I have no idea. I maintain that he’s going to blow up at some point this season and the narrative will change to “OMG we need to get this guy signed”. He was also on pace for career best in turnovers and penalties… until last game. What a disappointing game that was for Fiala… gets a chance to be THE GUY and absolutely lays an egg. It was a cool story with him talking to Deano on the bench and does show he’s maturing… but the fact that happened shows his still has maturity issues. He’s 25 and in a big contract year, we should not still be talking about his maturity.
If Billy G has to pick between Dumba and Fiala I think he goes Dumba all day. It comes down to their personalities as Billy G has definitely shown that’s a big deal to him. I do see a world where Spurgeon, Dumba, and Addison are all regular D on the team. Addison can play sheltered minutes on the 3rd pair at 5v5 but get lots of powerplay time. It’s like Tampa where they have 3 very good left shot D in Hedman, McDonagh, and Sergachev.
I don’t think any of the D prospects (Addison not included) are doing enough yet to make the team start planning out a spot for them. Lambos, O’Rourke, Hunt, and Peart are all very nice prospects likely with NHL futures, but don’t seem all that close to the NHL right now. Certainly not close to being top 4, and there will always be room on the bottom pair for them. O’Rourke and Hunt go to the AHL next year and are likely there for a couple years. Lambos has another year in the Dub and Peart has at least 2 more years in St. Cloud. Defenseman take longer to get to the NHL and Billy G has preached giving prospects all the time in the world in the minors.